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Rain, mild temperatures to bring localized flood risk along rivers in Vermont, New York this week

Substantial snowmelt is possible as high temperatures approach 50 degrees

Here at forecast time now is 4:47 on this Tuesday morning town meeting day, and Ben, we’re in for some rain and mixes of snow you mentioned, yeah, in the northern areas we think we’ll find *** couple of passing showers this afternoon. It won’t be anything to really get in the way. It’s more of *** nuisance than anything, and this morning it’s dry, so if you are hitting the polls and you want to avoid some of that. Shower action. I’d recommend going earlier though this afternoon we’re not expecting too many problems as temperatures will be close to 40. Best chance to see some accumulating snow will be in the northeast kingdom on the order of about *** dusting to *** couple of inches, maybe *** few mountain towns get 2 or 3. And just *** dusting possible in the Adirondack Park. Temperatures this morning are much warmer than they were this time yesterday. In some cases 30 degrees warmer as there are no negative signs on the map. teens and 20s outside. And if you look just off to the west, you can see that flow of milder air has started already in the 30s and close to 40 and 50 by Chicago and Indianapolis. That is the air that is coming our way. It’s going to carry those rain and snow showers with it. You can see just *** Little bit of moisture over Toronto. This will be where the afternoon shower chance comes from, but if we widen out and look in the middle of the country, this big swirl in the clouds, that’s the main area of low pressure getting organized before it pays us *** visit tomorrow and Thursday. So passing showers this afternoon, *** few roads may turn slick in the mountains. That continuing through the evening commute, southern areas stay mainly dry and then for tonight, no big problems. *** gusty south wind will pick up first thing tomorrow morning, you may notice *** few scattered showers. But it’s really the afternoon and evening where the radar really fills in and we get some pockets of moderate to heavy rain. So that would be Wednesday afternoon and evening and then this slowly starts to taper off. Looks like the main band of rain is out of here by Thursday morning. Though there will be some lingering rain and snow showers through that day as well, rainfall forecast hasn’t changed *** whole lot. We’re still expecting *** broad 0.5 inch to 1 inch with maybe *** few towns getting slightly more. We’re still watching for ice jams. All the rain plus the melting snow will be entering the rivers, and that may lead to some. Ice movement. We’re not expecting *** widespread flood threat, but Flood Tracker 5 has already identified *** couple of rivers we need to watch. That would be the Mad River near Moortown and the Otter Creek at Center Rutland with projected crests early Thursday morning. So impact weather for tomorrow with *** temperature near 50. There will be some risk for flooding, especially in southern areas. It’s just *** low 1 out of 4 risk, but one that we need to watch regardless, staying mild on Thursday, then cooler this weekend with 30s and 20s and another warm up in store next week.

Rain, mild temperatures to bring localized flood risk along rivers in Vermont, New York this week

Substantial snowmelt is possible as high temperatures approach 50 degrees

A period of steady rain combined with mild air could lead to rising rivers and isolated flooding across Vermont and northern New York from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. What to Expect:Rising Rivers: Some rivers and streams will rise steadily starting Wednesday evening.Ice Breakup & Jams: Warmer temperatures and increased runoff could break up river ice, leading to possible ice jams and localized flooding.Vulnerable Waterways: The Otter Creek at Center Rutland and the Mad River at Moretown are expected to reach ACTION stage, though flooding is expected to be minor.Strong Winds: Gusty winds will pick up Wednesday into Thursday, potentially worsening ice breakup. Scattered showers begin Wednesday morning, turning to a steadier rain by afternoon and evening. Rain continues through Thursday morning before tapering to showers in the afternoon.A widespread 0.5″ to 1″ of rainfall is expected region-wide. Combined with temperatures near 50 degrees, substantial snowmelt will occur across the high terrain. As the runoff plus snowmelt flows into rivers, some ice movement and localized ice jam flooding are possible. STAY WEATHER-AWAREFor the latest weather coverage for your area, click here. Stay updated with alerts in the myNBC5 app, which you can download here.For the best weather information and Vermont and northern New York’s Certified Most Accurate forecast, watch NBC5 News by streaming at this link.Don’t forget to follow NBC5 News on Facebook, X (formerly Twitter), and Instagram.Follow the NBC5 First Warning Weather team on social media:Chief Meteorologist Tyler Jankoski Facebook | X | InstagramMeteorologist Ben Frechette Facebook | X | InstagramMeteorologist Matt DiLoreto Facebook | XMeteorologist Andrew Grautski Facebook | XMeteorologist Marissa Vigevani Facebook | X

A period of steady rain combined with mild air could lead to rising rivers and isolated flooding across Vermont and northern New York from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.

What to Expect:

Rising Rivers: Some rivers and streams will rise steadily starting Wednesday evening.
Ice Breakup & Jams: Warmer temperatures and increased runoff could break up river ice, leading to possible ice jams and localized flooding.
Vulnerable Waterways: The Otter Creek at Center Rutland and the Mad River at Moretown are expected to reach ACTION stage, though flooding is expected to be minor.
Strong Winds: Gusty winds will pick up Wednesday into Thursday, potentially worsening ice breakup.

Scattered showers begin Wednesday morning, turning to a steadier rain by afternoon and evening. Rain continues through Thursday morning before tapering to showers in the afternoon.

A widespread 0.5″ to 1″ of rainfall is expected region-wide. Combined with temperatures near 50 degrees, substantial snowmelt will occur across the high terrain. As the runoff plus snowmelt flows into rivers, some ice movement and localized ice jam flooding are possible.

STAY WEATHER-AWARE

For the latest weather coverage for your area, click here. Stay updated with alerts in the myNBC5 app, which you can download here.

For the best weather information and Vermont and northern New York’s Certified Most Accurate forecast, watch NBC5 News by streaming at this link.

Don’t forget to follow NBC5 News on Facebook, X (formerly Twitter), and Instagram.

Follow the NBC5 First Warning Weather team on social media: