2025 off to a quiet start: The tropical timeline for an average hurricane season
DESTRUCTION FROM THE FLOODING THERE. WEATHER OBVIOUSLY MAKING HEADLINES FOR THE WRONG REASONS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. AND HERE, RIGHT NOW WE’RE TRACKING THE TROPICS. BRYLEE. WE SURE ARE. WE’VE HAD A RELATIVELY QUIET HURRICANE SEASON SO FAR, BUT THERE IS AN AREA TO WATCH IN THE GULF. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS HIGHLIGHTED AN AREA OF INTEREST. THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT SOMETHING TROPICAL WILL DEVELOP, BUT WE’RE WATCHING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST THAT IS MOVING WESTWARD AND WILL LIKELY CROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TONIGHT. AND SO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, GIVING IT A VERY LOW CHANCE OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 5 TO 7 DAYS. BUT WE ARE GOING TO WATCH IT CLOSELY. AT THE VERY LEAST, I THINK THIS WILL BRING SOME HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE STATE OF FLORIDA AND EVEN THE GULF COAST. YOU CAN SEE A FEW INCHES OF RAIN ACHIEVABLE ACROSS MANY AREAS FROM OUR GULF COAST, ALL THE WAY TO LOUISIANA. AND SO IF YOU DO HAVE TRAVEL PLANS DOWN TO THE SOUTH, THIS WILL BE SOMETHING YOU’LL WANT TO KEEP AN EYE ON. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL BE ELEVATED TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. AND SO THIS IS DANGEROUS IF YOU ARE DOWN ALONG ALABAMA’S GULF COAST OR FLORIDA’S PANHANDLE BEACHES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, YOU SEE THAT RIP CURRENT RISK IS HEIGHTENED AS FAR AS US HERE AT HOME. WE ARE LOOKING AT MORE RAIN TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK, BUT REALLY JUST NOTHING MAJOR TO BE CONCERNE
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This hurricane season has brought the slowest start to the Atlantic hurricane season since 2014, as the first named storm didn’t develop until June 24. Delayed starts don’t necessarily mean a dull season. The NHC predicts an above-average season, but the tropical timeline may not be what you expect.We are actually ahead of schedule, with three named storms on the books. Average date of first named storm: June 20 Average date of first hurricane: August 11Peak of hurricane season: September 10The first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season was Tropical Storm Andrea, which formed on June 24.Eyes on the oceanSea-surface temperatures are plenty warm enough for tropical development, but Saharan dust plumes help put a cap on any convection. The upper-level pattern must also be in coordination for a storm system to even reach the development stage.
This hurricane season has brought the slowest start to the Atlantic hurricane season since 2014, as the first named storm didn’t develop until June 24. Delayed starts don’t necessarily mean a dull season.
The NHC predicts an above-average season, but the tropical timeline may not be what you expect.
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We are actually ahead of schedule, with three named storms on the books.
- Average date of first named storm: June 20
- Average date of first hurricane: August 11
- Peak of hurricane season: September 10
The first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season was Tropical Storm Andrea, which formed on June 24.
Eyes on the ocean
Sea-surface temperatures are plenty warm enough for tropical development, but Saharan dust plumes help put a cap on any convection.
The upper-level pattern must also be in coordination for a storm system to even reach the development stage.
